Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000163 0.000176 0.000189 0.000204 0.000221 0.000239 0.000260
2024-10-27 0.000145 0.000163 0.000184 0.000209 0.000240 0.000274 0.000319
2024-11-03 0.000129 0.000150 0.000174 0.000204 0.000242 0.000288 0.000349
2024-11-10 0.000119 0.000141 0.000167 0.000201 0.000246 0.000302 0.000380
2024-11-17 0.000110 0.000132 0.000160 0.000198 0.000247 0.000312 0.000407
2024-11-24 0.000104 0.000127 0.000157 0.000198 0.000253 0.000329 0.000443
2024-12-01 0.000099 0.000123 0.000154 0.000197 0.000258 0.000343 0.000477
2024-12-08 0.000095 0.000120 0.000152 0.000199 0.000266 0.000363 0.000522
2024-12-15 0.000090 0.000115 0.000148 0.000196 0.000267 0.000373 0.000550
2024-12-22 0.000087 0.000112 0.000146 0.000196 0.000272 0.000388 0.000590
2024-12-29 0.000084 0.000110 0.000145 0.000197 0.000279 0.000407 0.000637
2025-01-05 0.000082 0.000108 0.000144 0.000200 0.000287 0.000429 0.000693
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000104 0.000140 0.000197 0.000288 0.000439 0.000730
2025-01-19 0.000077 0.000104 0.000141 0.000202 0.000302 0.000472 0.000816
2025-01-26 0.000073 0.000099 0.000136 0.000197 0.000298 0.000475 0.000844
2025-02-02 0.000070 0.000096 0.000133 0.000194 0.000299 0.000485 0.000885
2025-02-09 0.000067 0.000092 0.000129 0.000191 0.000297 0.000491 0.000921
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000090 0.000128 0.000191 0.000302 0.000510 0.000986
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000088 0.000126 0.000190 0.000305 0.000526 0.001048
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000087 0.000125 0.000192 0.000314 0.000552 0.001141
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000085 0.000123 0.000189 0.000313 0.000561 0.001190
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000083 0.000121 0.000189 0.000318 0.000580 0.001270
2025-03-23 0.000057 0.000082 0.000121 0.000190 0.000325 0.000606 0.001374